3/11/08

Projecting out the standings Pt V

New York Islander Fan Central | 3/11/2008 07:25:00 PM
Been a while since this feature was updated back on 2/29 where the Isles were a point behind my projected pace of ninety three points by going 5-1-1 here.

That loud crash was the Islanders falling well off the projected pace in the recent games.

Projections vs game results.................93 points projected.
Jan 29, Senators-Loss 54 points 24-21-6.....Isles lost
Jan 31, Kings-Win 56 points 25-21-6.........Isles lost two points below pace set.
Feb 2, at Canadians-Loss 56 points 25-22-6..Isles lost
Feb 5, Ducks-Loss 56 points 25-23-6.........Isles lost
Feb 7, at Penguins otl 57 points 25-23-7....Isles lost three points below pace.
Feb 9, at Wild W 59 points 26-23-7..........Isles lost ot four point below pace set.
Feb 12 Flyers L 59 points 26-24-7...........Isles won two points below pace set.
Feb 14, at Maple Leafs L 59 points 26-25-7..Isles won even with pace set.
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Feb 16, Thrashers W 61 points 27-25-7.......Isles won even with pace set.
Feb 18, Sharks W 63 points 28-25-7..........Isles won even with pace set.
Feb 20, at Capitals ot L 64 points 28-25-8..Isles won ahead of pace set by one pt.
Feb 21, Lightning W 66 points 29-25-8.......Isles won ahead of pace set by one pt.
Feb 23, at Devils L 66 points 29-26-8.......Isles lost ahead of pace set by one pt.
Feb 26, Penguins W 68 points 30-26-8........Isles lost behind pace set by one pt.
Feb 28, at Thrashers W 70 points 31-26-8....Isles win behind pace set by one pt..
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Mar 1 Flyers ot-L 71 points 31-26-9........Isles lost behind pace set by two pts.
Mar 2, Panthers W 73 points 32-26-9........Isles lost behind pace set by four pts.
Mar 4, at Rangers W 75 points 33-26-9......Isles won behind pace set by four pts.
Mar 6, Rangers ot-L 76 points 33-26-10.....Isles lost behind pace set by five pts.
Mar 8, at Flyers L 76 points 33-27-10......Isles lost behind pace set by five pts.
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five points off a projected pace of ninety three points now brings the total to eight eight points which will not be a playoff spot.
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Projected results going back to all-star break for remaining games:
Mar 11 at Lightning W 78 points 34-27-10
Mar 12, at Panthers otl 79 points 34-27-11
Mar 15, at Canadiens L 79 points 34-28-11
Mar 18, Leafs W 81 points 35-28-11
Mar 21, at Devils L 81 points 35-29-11
Mar 23, at Flyers W 83 points 36-29-11
Mar 24, Penguins W 85 points 37-29-11
Mar 27, at Penguins otl 86 points 37-29-12
Mar 29, 2 Flyers W 87 points 38-29-12
Apr 1, Devils W 89 points 39-29-12
Apr 3, Rangers otl 90 points 39-29-13
Apr 4, at Rangers W 92 points 40-29-13

I cannot see any less than ninety two points for the eighth seed and it may take more than that.

Islanders need to go 12-0 to finish with ninety five points. In other words lose one game and the best they can do is ninety three points.

If I had to give an honest guess now I see an eighty-eighty three point team.

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