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Wednesday, June 15, 2011

NYIFC Free Agent Speculation & What's Ahead

New York Islander Fan Central | 6/15/2011 12:19:00 PM


NYIFC will have some blog entries during the draft weekend, all profiles will be added to the prospect blog.

Hockey will be picking up around here for the near future, a mix of blog entries and twitter updates.

Unfortunately the Nassau-Mangano sideshow will have to be worked in because the financing plan is due in June.

Setting The Agenda:
Today 6/15 is the beginning of the buyout period and where teams can elect salary arbitration, that will be delayed until 48 hours after the conclusion of the Stanley Cup Finals.

The NHL schedule was released last year on 6/22, we are getting close to that as well but late finals/Winnipeg-Atlanta could delay things a bit.

The Monday deadline after the NHL draft (perhaps before) we find out who the Islanders are qualifying among it's restricted free agents. My speculation is the handwriting is on the wall for classy Bruno Gervais, or at best, will be asked to accept a two-way contract.

How Do Qualifying Offers Work?
Teams have to make a qualifying offer by the Monday after the NHL draft or lose the rights to a player. Qualifying offer means a guaranteed raise of ten percent in most instances, but a chance for another team to sign that player to an offer sheet after July 1st.

The player can accept the qualifying offer (which means he is signed) reject (the team keeps the player rights past 7/1 as an RFA) or the player/team can file for arbitration where the team can walk away from an award.

A rejection of the qualifying offer with neither side electing salary arbitration can lead to a stalemate with Wang law upon the club opening it's training camp.

Restricted Free Agency:
I suspect Josh Bailey is looking for the same commitment Kyle Okposo just received.

Will he simply accept a qualifying offer after being moved from wing to center and back too many times? The center spot has Cizikas, Ullstrom and Brock Nelson in college, but this is Snow's targeted player he traded down for twice.

Blake Comeau has had back to back twenty goal seasons, we can debate his scoring droughts for large parts of those years when he needed to produce most and failed to do so, however I cannot see simply accepting a qualifying offer which could make him a trade-able commodity or someone headed to arbitration.

Jack Hillen showed good offensive flashes in the second half and Snow signed him out of Denver as a free agent, but it's going to be interesting to see if he accepts a qualifying offer after he gained a year of eligibility with his first agreement which was why he played those two NHL games at the end of 2007-08.

Ty Wishart was his return for Roloson and got a max contract, there is Katic, Donovan, Ness with Calvin deHaan entering the final year of his ELC so a lot of competition.

Jesse Joensuu I'm not sure has a lot of options beyond accepting if qualified. The organizational depth chart beyond Bridgeport is smaller with a lot of turnover, but a new class of prospects coming.

I do not know if the Islanders see Dylan Reese beyond a short-term serviceable option. Like what I saw from Katic a lot with his skating, plus there are big decisions on Dustin Kohn to be made with Donovan, Ness, Klementyev.
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As For The UFA:
Streit, MacDonald, Hamonic, Mottau, Eaton, Jurcina are all signed.

There is Hillen and a lot of defenders with deHaan after that. I would like to see Radek Martinek return, however he's likely going to test the market and all the teams that know he is an excellent defender, will find out first hand and pay extra to land him.

Management extended Jurcina so unless he's traded it's hard to see a spot opening.

I would not mind seeing a trade of Eaton or Mottau, both have been around the team recently if it means a signing of Martinek. Don't tell me it's to sign Joni Pitkanen with his five goals, minus rating and thirty points with his four powerplay goals in the last three years.

A lot of players here already can do that with more upside.

Would not mind seeing the club go back to it's plan from last summer and making an offer to Wisniewski with a healthy Mark Streit if not Martinek?

Only thing that can be counted on are injuries.
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My thoughts on Zenon Konopka are his two goals and minus fourteen are not enough at even strength to give him any kind of big raise. At any price the two goals from Konopka at a center position where Nielsen-Bailey's even strength numbers were not enough must be better overall.

Steve Yzerman in Tampa let Konopka walk away, kept Nate Thompson and was rewarded while Tim Jackman went to Calgary and produced like he never did here. Matt Martin was less visible last year as opposed to his rookie year mostly playing a fourth line role with Konopka as his center.

It does not necessarily mean Konopka is directly responsible for that, Martin could have held back Konopka and we all know Trevor Gillies is not going to produce often.

Of course a team with six hundred man game lost is going to have big problems. Maybe if Konopka is resigned he makes the same offensive leap Thompson and Jackman did because he has produced goals in the AHL?

The difference between Konopka's production vs Jackman and Thompson could have been all the difference in so many one goal regulation losses whicht finished the season in October, November, and early December.

Konopka's interviews, popularity, face-offs, penalty killing and fighting are all good, however in the end your fourth line has to outscore the other teams fourth line.

This could go either way and I have no problem with Ullstrom, Cizikas centering a fourth line with Hunter and Martin next year as Gillies/Haley are retained with two-way contracts.

What I can write is Konopka has a ton of fighting mileage and looked hurt at the end of last year. He's still somewhat of a young player, but had hand issues from fights.

The fans are not in the room so character, popularity and media save count for something on a team with no media, but still it's about winning and your fourth line outscoring the other teams.

It's everything on a team that lost all those close one goal games.

I can also see why the club should go after former Islander, Mike Rupp on 7/1 with his twenty three goals the last two years to go with his big size and fighting ability.

As for the rest I would have no problem with Snow finding someone to take Trent Hunter's contract but he would be selling at his lowest return, an injured player at two million the next two seasons is not an easy trade.

How Is Garth Snow Going To Reach The Cap Floor?
Anyone ever consider Wisniewski and Roloson'salaries were traded, Wishart was sent to Bridgeport for a long time, and even with all these injuries the club was not under the cap floor?

That tells me the club was well above the cap floor. Hamonic's contract was brought up long before Wisniewski was traded.

A lot of media rhetoric. You have a lot of young players, top picks making max contracts per CBA. Nielsen, MacDonald signed great contracts for less money over longer term.

Jussi Jokinen and Rob Scudei used to be waiver wire fodder, you identify players who can fit your organization and draft well, your club will be successful for a sustained period as long as you don't lose six hundred man games to injury.




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Monday, June 13, 2011

Islander Notables

New York Islander Fan Central | 6/13/2011 10:32:00 PM


Garth Snow did the perfunctory interview on Monday, ten days before the draft with Cablevision's Newspaper. Snow, as usual, said a lot, but nothing all at which is completely appropriate for the circumstances.

In short, picture any possible scenario with the teams top pick according to Snow. Most of the top prospects will be coming to New York for interviews.

Even a fan blog could have speculated all those possible results.

Katie Strang had more rust on her reporting than Evgeny Nabokov in Slovakia.

Ms Strang had the following very sloppy errors:
1-That Ryan Jankowski was dismissed by the Islanders in September. In fact, he was hired by the Montreal Canadians on 7/27/2010 with twenty one year Ranger European scout, Christopher Rockstrom, which the team (or Newsday) did not even report when he was dismissed.

2-That the Islanders will be without Jankowski for the first time since 2007.

Jankowski was named Islanders Chief European Scout in 2003. He gave interviews in 2006 & December 2005.

Before that Jankowski worked one season in North America for the Islanders, starting his career scouting six seasons for the WHL Spokane Chiefs. He was also a video coordinator for Canadian Junior teams here.

3-Strang once again played the " bristled card " in what she reported was a phone interview about Snow's reaction to the size of scouting staff? We got the same bristled tag from Strang in April about DiPietro in what is becoming a familiar pattern.

If Ms Strang cannot report facts correctly her viewpoint of someone's reaction during a phone call must be questioned. Snow has responded many times on the clubs scouting staff.

Strang unfortunately did not get quotes (or a no comment) from Snow on qualifying the clubs restricted free agents/signing their own unrestricted free agents, or anything about Blake Kessel/Jason Gregiore.

For those speculating the Islanders had to give a qualifying offer to these players immediately upon turning professional, or the thirty day rule did not apply would not be correct. There is only one criteria for these players, the Blake Wheeler rule.

Yearly qualifying offers are for CHL prospects or players like Anders Nilsson received last summer with Casey Cizikas.

Gregoire is likely an UFA around 6/17, Kessel around 6/24 based on thirty day rule vs time-frame these stories broke in professional media.
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The Islanders official radio station out of Hofstra started a weekly radio program in May. Chris King, who has done interviews with several of the players, Garth Snow, Mike Bossy, Barry Landers, who used to call the clubs games on radio long ago are also interviewed.

Islanders website: Has an archive of the weekly shows which started in May.

NYIFC Comments:
Great work and a weekly show with player/management comments is something of interest. Having written this another example the Islanders media does work well in getting out it's message because no one knows about it.

A weekly show is something the teams website should feature every single week, with times/upcoming guests and an archive easy to find.

I'll see what can be done here at NYIFC so you can directly access the weekly archive from here.
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Times & Transcript: Has a complete interview with PA Parenteau at the annual Moncton Wildcats Golf tournament, which included Andrew MacDonald, Ted Nolan and Chico Resch.

NHLPA: Reported Mike Cammalleri, and former Islander, Chris Campoli, were named to the league's competition committee.

NYIFC Comments:
What's Mike Cammalleri going to do besides chop players from behind as his version of competition?
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The NHL Finals will have a game seven. It's been a sad show reading the Boston and Vancouver media turn into glorified salesman/fans for the home teams papers and advertisers. Too many days off for a sport which will finish after basketball, who began a month later.

Tim Thomas has won me over, sloppy style and all.

Anything can happen in a game seven but each series has trends, this one has the 2002 Islanders-Leafs trend that the home team wins every game.

I do not see Boston breaking that trend in game seven.

Roberto Luongo could use some media relations lessons from Dwayne Roloson, I'm aware he praised Thomas also and not all he said was reported in every article.
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Want to know what Larry Brooks sees when he looks in the mirror?
Mike Milbury.

Milbury's inappropriate comments about the Sedins reflect many of the same things Brooks has written about European players, including Radek Martinek.

A few years ago when former Ranger goon, Ryan Hollweg, was pulling out Radek Martink's stitches here Brooks conduct was frankly pathetic after Martinek had a few postgame words.

Martinek's a classy man who has worked hard to interview in two languages, most NHL media have enough problems with one.

Milbury also drafted the Sedin's old line-mate in Mattias Weinhandl.

Now go cover baseball, Mr Brooks. The Post will not be sending you to game seven because it's too expensive and hockey is not relevant in baseball's largest market.

Like it or not, Mike Milbury's views will be center stage, not that of the NY Post or your views.




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Nassau Coliseum Plan Overview

New York Islander Fan Central | 6/13/2011 11:18:00 AM


Nothing new announced on a full Coliseum financing agreement, but this blog has been getting questions so I wanted to post the graph on the Nassau County Website and cut through a little red-tape with a clear overview.

Kate Murray will have her Frederick P Clark meeting/zoning dance soon. Al Damato's daughter will head a newly created Nassau Human Services department at $105,000-a-year via Mangano's office, the RFP on baseball stadium is due 6/16/2011.












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